| Ron Basso |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Mon Aug 01 2005 01:21 PM |
|
Re: August Begins, a Few Things to Watch
|
The GOM spin-up on the FSUmm5 is from yesterdays run at 00Z. I would tend to discount the mm5 because it tends to suffer from multiple spurious lows from time to time - kinda like the GFS convective feedback issues. That's not to say it can't happen, but without other model support, it's less likely. What's more interesting to me is that three major global models (12Z GFS, UKMET,and CMC) are all developing some sort of Cape Verde storm that moves to about 40W in their 144 hr runs.