MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Aug 12 2005 05:17 PM
Irene Moving Northwest, TD 10 Forms

Saturday Update
As of the 5pm advisory packages, we now have our tenth tropical depression of the season out in the Central Atlantic. It is weak right now and undergoing some shear, so only slow development is expected as it generally moves towards the northwest over the next 3-5 days. Interests in the Northern Lesser Antilles should watch this one, though the current guidance and NHC path suggest it should stay north of there. If it becomes a named system, it would be Jose -- and the earliest 10th named storm in recorded history in the Atlantic.

Today also marks the 1 year anniversary of Hurricane Charley making landfall in Southwest Florida. Charley was the second costliest hurricane on record in the US, causing over $15 billion in damages.

Original Update
Tropical Storm Irene is due to have Recon enter the system today. It's current motion is to the northwest and will likely continue on this for the next day or two.



It will then likely move more northward, well before land. However, later on it looks like steering currents will relax, and allow Irene to meander, eventually being pushed out to sea by the steering flow.

The Recon should help gain more confidence in the currently somewhat shaky forecast beyond a few days. I do not expect Irene to landfall along the East Coast, but areas in the cone should be on the watch.

Beyond Irene another tropical wave AKA 96L is in the Central Atlantic, it's looking better today and may become a depression tomorrow.

Hurricane Charley arrived in Florida a year ago today, starting the 2004 hell year for storms.

Event Related Links
StormCarib hurricane reports from observers in the Islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms

Irene


Animated Model Plot of Irene
Satellite Image of Irene with Storm Track Overlays
Infrared color Satellite Image of Irene with Storm track Overlays

QuikSCAT image of Irene
Weather Underground model plots of Irene
Irene Spaghetti Plot from BoatUS
NRL Monterey Irene Imagery

TD 10:


Satellite imagery from NASA/GHCC
QuikSCAT image of TD 10
NRL Monterey TD 10 Imagery



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center