| Ron Basso |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Sat Aug 20 2005 12:26 AM |
|
Re: Don't look now but...
|
Quote:
umm....looks like "X-TD10"/wave might be making a comeback tonight. I think there is a surface low trying to develop, near 21n 65w. This may be best chance too see anything happen with the wave in the area. Shear is week and if it holds... then this wave looks like it will head into the eastern/southern GOM. But as of right now i think there is something going on.... there is alot of convection and now that night time has fallen, its going to be hard to tell by sats exactly what's going on. Well, lets see how long storms fire tonight!!!!
I'd have to say I agree with you. The convection has looked the best ever, there is some rotation evident (could be MLC only), an anticyclone is building near the system, and conditions look ripe for development. Is this cloud mass the Lazarus of all systems? The 18Z GFS & GFDL models develop a closed low pressure in the FL straits and run it up the west coast of FL while the 12Z NOGAPs closes off a low in the western bahamas and runs it up the SE coast.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cg...;hour=Animation
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc2...;hour=Animation
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-...;hour=Animation