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The strongest banding is near 13N/24W, though convection is sparse in that area. It's best shot is if the low tries to reform near 12N/25-26W, nearer the deep convection. It's a large system, so it will take some time to get going...think of how long it took Hilary to get going (about 3 days before it developed) and that sounds about right. The 12z TAFB surface analysis analyzed a 1012mb low there; it's been oscillating between 1009-1012mb the past day or so. They'll start Dvorak estimates on it once they feel they are needed. Chances are that it will be one for the fish, but it's just too early to tell. |