Yes, the center is definitely south of the forecast consensus. I would think the 11PM advisory will reflect that. Also, with Katrina taking that more SW/WSW track, the center will be over land for a somewhat shorter time since the distance is less. Looks like entry into the GOM will be in Florida Bay. I wonder if that will mean a somewhat later recurvature than currently forecast. With SSTs rather high in the western Gulf, I would expect a somewhat rapid intensification once the center of circulation gets clear of the coast. It will be a very interesting weekend.