wxman007
(Meteorologist)
Sat Aug 27 2005 02:10 AM
Re: Katrina's Forecast Track Shifts West, Northern Gulf Needs to Watch

Quote:

From the NHC conference call....

SHIFTING THE TRACK WEST AT 11PM...

More when I get it....





GFS is 30 m too low....NAM has better inits...

HPC is going with the NAM forecast....

No support for the GFDL and it's north turn...

Forecast points...

HPC

12 hr 24.7 86.6
24 hr 24.9 86.3
36 hr 25.4 87.4
48 hr 26.1 90.
72 hr 28.7 92.5
96 hr 31.6 93
120 hr 34.9 92.

NHC

12 hr 24.6 84. 6
24 hr 25.0 86.0 115g140kt
36 hr 26.0 87.5 115g140
48 hr 27.0 89.0 115g140
72 hr on coast 30.5 89.5 (Biloxi ish) 115g140

(my supposition....TX is now in play)


MORE.....



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