| Terra |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Sat Aug 27 2005 03:00 AM |
Re: Katrina's Forecast Track Shifts West, Northern Gulf Needs to Watch
|
Quote:
[I think you know this already, but in case someone else doesn't, XTRP is simple extrapolation of the current motion and speed...it's NOT a model.
I can hope, can't I.... unfortunately, I am aware of that, but I really like the idea and was hoping that we could wishcast it that way. The current NHC scenario is not favorable for me, and I'm a little concerned. This is especially true when reading comments like this from the discussion:
KATRINA IS FORECAST TO MOVE DIRECTLY OVER THE WARM
LOOP CURRENT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...WHICH IS LIKE ADDING HIGH OCTANE FUEL TO THE FIRE.... KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVE STUBBORNLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST... and my personal favorite: THIS CLUSTERING INCREASES THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST.
When you live in southern Louisiana, you just don't want to see these things....
I knew YOU did, but our more casual readers might not know that...just wanted to clarify...