| jaxmike |
| (Verified CFHC User) |
| Fri Sep 09 2005 08:26 PM |
Re: Moving SE?
|
Quote:
The Vortex data AND the radar loop all suggest ENE at 4-5mph. The WV shows a sharp W to E flow ahead so it may be nearly maxed out on latitude until the loop occurs.
That was my take on the motion as well. I have been watching the WV loop for a few days now and at no point did I see this thing getting very high (latitude wise). I don't think it's going to make it as far north as is forcast, which is bad news for me here in JAX.
Quote:
The ULL from the SE has a strong westerly flow with it so if it does not gain much latitude there is some cause for concern in the Florida peninsula after the loop. Im not sure how much that ULL has played into the model calculations.
I think it has been under represented, It's looking pretty healthy today through my untrained eyes. I really don't want to have to go through a hurricane living 4 miles from the beach, right on the St. Johns river..
Quote:
I agree it will be reclassified to Cat 1 this p.m. I don't think cat 1 is its limit, but not more than 2.
Will see how the strom progesses in latitude before I buy a solution as far as South Carolina.
For the most part I agree. However, I would not be suprised to see it reach 2, but I don't think its going higher than a low three max.