Margie
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue Sep 20 2005 05:03 PM
Re: ne quandrant just got drier? not up here in NMB or S Broward

Quote:

Katrina was also only moving at 5mph FOREVER...when it hit the gulf coast/NO etc, it sat there scouring and cranking the storm surge into Lake Ponchatrain for an extended period of time which, in my opinion, was one of the REAL causes why levees failed. Rita is moving at a fairly fast clip of 15mph so any strengthening is going to have to occur pretty fast and in a completely different way then occured with Katrina.



Yes and the large windfield, that was why it was just so completely astonishing the mayor didn't act on Friday night, or Sat morning! I kept wondering about that. I think he just didn't get it, that all the while water level was rising, and just like a dam, the impact of the additional heavy water over a period of days was what was going to cause the failures, not how much wind they were ultimately going to get a couple days down the road. But engineers must have told him, right?

Do you know that between the time Katrina became a Cat 3 and the LA landfall, she had grown in size to a area roughly eight times larger than she started with on Friday? It was unreal.

I think there is the potential for Rita to become a large hurricane, but not on that order of magnitude. To me, Katrina seemed like a 1000-year storm for landfall in the GOM. It isn't possible to compare other GOM storms to Katrina; she was in a category all her own those last three days.

Well I'm surprised I feel ok about jumping in again and trying to keep learning about tracking and forecasting hurricanes. And Rita has been interesting with her quirks.



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