typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Fri Sep 23 2005 02:40 AM
Re: Hurricane Rita Tracking West Northwest in the Gulf

It is becoming clear to me that Rita peaked 24 hours ago and is in fact leveling off during the day this evening as a category 4. I think warm eddies or heat sink, it is too difficult to ascertain if these differences are having quantifiable impacts with regard to her structure very readily. Hurricanes over very warm water can have disrupted intensities in lieu of the mechanics of EWRCs. Moreover, where the water is "cool" we are still talking 81, 82-ish, which isn't exactly floated ice-bergs... We may be making too much out of this, particularly when said eyewall mechanics (events that top scientists readily admit they no very little about) have much more discernable affects by the hour.

In any case, I grew suspicious of cat-5 return, but not impossible...



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