Clark
(Meteorologist)
Tue Oct 04 2005 01:47 PM
Re: 92L Spinning up

Agreed. The best thing for development for 92L would be for Stan to continue moving inland and to weaken; right now, the outflow jet from Stan is shearing the wave from the west. The broad area of low pressure is currently located between Andros Island and the Florida Peninsula, well-removed from the strongest convection. Something may be trying to organize in the mid-levels a bit further north and east just west of the deepest convection but will take some time to do so. Unless something develops in a hurry today, which I just can't see right now, recon will likely get canceled for tomorrow if only because the entire complex should be moving over land. It's important to not just focus on this one area as well -- some of the energy is going to get tied up further north in the Gulf Stream near where Ophelia did her number a few weeks ago and the entire complex stretches back to the south and east toward Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Needless to say, it's going to be a very wet one across Florida tomorrow with the potential for something more in the NW Gulf on Thursday. Best call...stay tuned.


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