Excerpts from early morning Area Fcst Discussions from FL NWS Offices.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
140 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005 edited~danielw
.LONG TERM...THU THRU SUN...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS UNCERTAIN SINCE MUCH DEPENDS ON THE EVOLUTION AND TRACK OF T.D. #24.
THE 00Z GFS RUN HAS FLOPPED FROM PREVIOUS RUNS...NOW ADVERTISING THE STORM WILL LINGER NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS AND THE CURRENT NHC/HPC TRACK GUIDANCE ADVERTISE THE CYCLONE BEING PICKED UP BY A MID LEVEL TROUGH FRI AND MOVING NE AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND. THERE REMAINS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST AT THIS TIME...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
145 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005
....LONG TERM (THURSDAY-SUNDAY)...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ON THURSDAY. WILL NEED TO KEEP CLOSE TABS ON THE TROPICAL SYSTEM (SOON-TO-BE NAMED TS WILMA) IN THE WRN CARRIBEAN AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST BY THIS WEEKEND.
NOTE: THE 00Z GFS TAKES THE SYSTEM WWD ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH MUCH LOWER POPS OVER OUR CWFA.
THE UPSHOT IS NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FCST...

These are excerpts from the current AFDs in FL. Please use Official NHC products for current storm information and planning purposes.~danielw
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov