Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Sun Oct 23 2005 03:34 PM
Re: Here it comes!

The "tilt" noted in that last recon may be an indication that the shear is already beginning to affect the storm more than I would have thought, with the surface center slightly south of the flight-level center. Of course, that could also be an effect of eyewall reorganization.

The satellite presentation seems to be slowly improving and the pressure dropped 2 mb from the last recon fix. In the four recon fixes on the current mission, the storm has moved 36' N and 36' E (exactly NE) covering a period of 4 hours. Between individual recon fixes, there have been jogs to the ENE and NNE, but the longer term average motion has been NE.



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