Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Nov 10 2005 11:13 AM
Re: looking out

GFS is also showing something. It appears two locations have the potential of genisis: West Carribean and just east of Peurto Rico.

CMC is showing a system spinning off the tail of the cold front and forming off Peurto Rico. NOGAPS and UKM pick up on this some, but also form another low with circulation in the west Carribean. GFS then forms something in the west Carribean.

I checked both low pressure and vorticity models - CMC is the model showing the best organization to anything, but then models aren't really good when the system hasn't even formed yet.

We'll have to wait and see with this. We might have 0 systems, 1 system, or 2 systems within a few days.



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