Psyber
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Nov 21 2005 02:31 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Gamma Forms Near Honduras

I agree hank, but i'm also not one of those people who are quick to UNSMACK the title of human caused global warming on what we've seen are some pretty significant changes in the global climate in the last 20 years. I'm still waiting on the results of the science that proves that one of the biggest causes of climate change ever recorded including sediment dating(short of ice age causing meteor strikes) isn't from a bunch of shortsighted fossil fuel sucking lifeforms...

Even so, like hurricane forcasting, do we wait until 24-48 hours before the actual event is dire before we try to take steps which might impact the possible outcome if the steps are overall beneficial no matter if people are in the direct path? No...because by then it's too late. The science behind human caused global warming makes sense, the only thing up in the air is the actual timeline/scope of what we're physically causing.

Even as an extremely junior meteorologist, i'm terrified to think what our hurricane/tornado seasons will be like if some of the doomsayers predicting net 5-10 degree southern oceanic temperature changes over the next couple decades are right.

I just got a private message complimenting my signature. When did accuweather predict the end of the season this year? End of October? Sometimes, i think they use the old bearfat in the mason jar for their longterm forcasting...and don't even get me started on this seasons unbridled attacks on the NHC.

How many did they miss? 4 or is it 5 now? Looks like 95L (possible Delta) is spinning up a bit...

i'm not sure what 'accuweather' said. they've got several meteorologists who speak up on such issues, and i can't speak for any of them. it's not a mystery that public and private sector forecasters don't agree on things. neither side is right all of the time. -HF



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center