Randrew
(Weather Guru)
Thu Jan 05 2006 03:25 PM
Re: Are we there yet?

Tropical Storm ZETA Public Advisory
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000
WTNT35 KNHC 052018
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ZETA ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU JAN 05 2006

...TENACIOUS ZETA STILL HANGING ON TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...


JUST ABOUT THE TIME THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO WANE... NEW CONVECTION
REFIRES JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. CONVECTION HAS ALSO BECOME RATHER
ACTIVE TO THE NORTHWEST OF ZETA BETWEEN THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND A
PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 50W LONGITUDE... INDICATING THAT
THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE
FOR IT TO TAP INTO. THEREFORE... ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO... AFTER WHICH STRONG SHEAR BEHIND THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH "SHOULD" DECAPITATE THE CYCLONE.