Thomas Giella
(Meteorologist)
Wed Jun 28 2006 11:47 AM
Re: 93L

I doubt that 91L will be revisited by NHC/TPC in the future for possible upgrade to T.D. #2. If it had just missed T.S. Beryl classification then that would have been a different story.

In the near and mid term 93L will face continued hostile wind shear so the chance for development is nil.

The overlooked T.W. currently ashore in Central America has the best chance for T.C. development (30%) in the mid term. The bulk of the associated weather should emerge into the southern Bay Of Campeche in a day or so, a region with virtually no wind shear and high ocean heat content.

It would impact Mexico as several did last year.

Someone mentioned T.C. Abby and Gladys in 1968, I remember both very well. I was living in Dade City in Pasco County and Abby knocked out power and took down allot of tree limbs. Gladys knocked out power and took down allot of trees. The sound of the wind with Gladys was pretty scary for a 12 year old and the experience cemented my drive to become a Meteorologist.



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