Satellite imagery through 0925z ( 5:35 am edt) is indicating light to moderate shear in the mid to upper levels of Andrea.

Rough estimate of 25-30 nm difference between the Surface Center and the mid/ upper level center.
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

Models--- There is at least one model over the last 36 hours ...that takes some part, or all of Andrea into the GOM.

And several of the intensity models start increasing the wind speed at 60 hours, or Noon Saturday.

Watch and see...

Recon is still in the chocks, but should be airborne shortly.