Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Sat May 12 2007 06:49 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?

Some good discussion, but also some bad discussion bordering on 'NHC bashing' which for this system isn't really necessary. The recently issued Special Tropical Disturbance Statement should tell you that NHC is still monitoring the low pressure area. The Recon for today was cancelled because of a 'resources conflict', i.e., it was probably something that NHC had no control over (crew availability, aircraft problem, etc.) and another mission has been scheduled for tomorrow if the low continues to become better organized.

The original system update was based primarily on quicksat winds and a ship report of sustained winds at 37 knots - and not a Recon mission. If the low needs to be upgraded again before Sunday afternoon I'm sure that those same parameters will provide the motivation to do so. The system was dropped because it fell below STD requirements and was expected to weaken further (which it did) - but that doesn't mean that it was being ignored.

Will the former Andrea regenerate? Perhaps - but I'm not going to demand updates from NHC on 'my' schedule. Special Tropical Disturbance Statements are issued whenever NHC feels the need to do so - not when we do - and at the moment, nobody is in harms way... I think that they have the bases covered.

While I'm at it, here are a few Administrative Reminders:

The primary purpose of the site is to offer an exchange of dialogue on tropical entities in the Atlantic basin. The Main Page and Storm Forum are more strictly moderated with an attempt to keep the various discussions 'on topic', i.e., associated with the topics that are presented in the lead-off article. Discussions on the Florida drought are better suited to the Everything and Nothing Forum.

One-line posts are normally deleted since they seldom contain any useful information - use the PM capability to thank someone for answering your question or providing helpful info.

It is not necessary to post an NHC bulletin since links to these reports are available on the left side of the screen and above the Main Page. It is okay to quote a portion of a bulletin to emphasize a particular point that you are making in your post.

If you can help us with these three things it will make the task of moderating the site a lot easier. As the season gets underway, please don't get into a fuss with the Moderators - they would also like their experience here to be a pleasant one.

Thanks for your help and for your efforts to make the CFHC an interesting and enjoyable place to visit.
Cheers,
ED



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