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HF brings up a great point - that is, storms such as this that do not necessarily pose any imminent threat, and that are in some ways walking the line between called/no call, sometimes just end up left for the post-season reanalysis when a more careful review of the big-picture and facts can take place. In the meantime, lots of local NWS offices have handled Andrea very well, as have the High Seas Forecasts. It's pretty clear to me that some internal debate has gone on already with regard to how best describe and attribute Andrea. Just within the past few hours I found these two statements capture well what the larger weather community as a whole has been discussing lol TWD 805 PM EDT SAT MAY 12 2007: "SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST." STDS 900 PM EDT SAT MAY 12 2007 "AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA... IS CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THIS MORNING" In any event, if Andrea is to be named Tropical Depression or Storm in real time she had better do something to impress the sceptics quickly, as it does appear more and more likely that she has a date very soon with increasingly hostile water temperature and wind shear. |