Clark
(Meteorologist)
Wed May 16 2007 03:55 PM
Re:Future bahamas event

This is the beginnings of a late-season coastal low that should begin to move north and affecting New England and the related coastal waters over the next couple of days. Not a whole lot to worry about tropically, fortunately.

The ECMWF model, however, spit out something interesting for the long-range -- 5-10 days out -- time period in it's latest run. See this link for the details. This model is normally very reliable, the best out there in the medium- and long-range by far, and a friend of mine (and I) can't remember the last time we've ever seen it do something like this in May. It meets the basic test of lower pressures in the area prior to formation, but I really have a hard time believing the forecast given the month. Something worth watching, however.



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