LoisCane
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sun May 20 2007 09:17 AM
More likely to develop in Epac with first storm than SW carib

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html

Just my observation that the area developing there now looks like it is in better position to do something which would preclude development in the SW carib for a few weeks.

As for the GFS... worth watching, once the shear moves out something could happen

Heavy rains in Miami all morning, flooded streets, strong wind. Makes hurricane season feel closer.