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Ok, a quick check of visible imagery shows a low pressure area may be developing near 80W 13.2N. Additionally, the 06Z surface analysis shows a new low pressure area in this area. As for model support - well the 00Z run of the NOGAPS picked up on a developing low pressure system from 00Z this evening, lasting through Thursday and moving generally towards the northwest. It is kept as a marginal warm-core system, so a possible tropical cyclone. Given the abundant convective activty in he region, and the model hints recently, it is certainly worth keeping an eye on this area. |