The latest 12Z CMC model really blows up the low pressure in the western carribean. Looks like it takes it to a CAT 1 Hurricane prior to landfall in the Big Bend region of FL. The 12Z UKMET is considerably weaker while bringing a broad low across north-central FL. 12Z NAM indicates a slower motion toward the Big Bend at tropical storm strength (1004 mb). Looks like the system will be a hybrid (sub-tropical) with most of the wind and weather on the east side.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cg...;hour=Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.cg...;hour=Animation

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/