MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Jun 01 2007 04:06 AM
2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins Today

5p ET Update: Tropical Storm Barry comes to be...
3:15p ET 6/1 Update: The recon plane in the disturbance has found a minimum pressure of 1000mb and maximum flight level (about 1000ft aloft) winds of 52kt. More importantly, it has found a decent warm-core structure at low levels and I would anticipate an upgrade to Tropical Storm Barry at 5p.

Original Update
The 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins today, and we are watching a system in the western Caribbean that may bring rain to Florida.

The system still isn't likely to develop much, if at all, as conditions for it doing so are becoming more hostile.

See Clark's blog below for more information about this system.

Although we always hope for another inactive season, this year is expected to be an above average year for storms, so it could get busy. Normally June is a slow month, as the season really doesn't start to get going until August.

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Storm Names for 2007 are
{{2007StormNames}}

Andrea, a preseason Subtropical Storm, has already formed, so the next system will be the "B" system.

For Floridians, a sales tax holiday begins today and lasts until midnight on June 12th, you can get the following hurricane related items sans sales tax in this time:

{{HurricaneTaxFreeItems}}


Yesterday's Update
Tomorrow is the start of the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season, and we are still watching an area in the Western Caribbean. Now being tracked as Invest 92L. It at least may bring rain to the Florida Peninsula later.

We'll be watching this as a possible opener for the new season. Some models have been predicting more than what we actually wound up with today, but still convection has flared up overnight. If this persists we may be tracking something soon. Florida potentially could get too much rain (well too much in a short period of time) depending on where the system winds up. But by the time it gets to Florida, the forward motion should be quicker, thus reducing the flash flood potential.

Model links at the bottom of the main page can give you an idea what is projected.

It is most likely going to remain a rain event, however, as the upper air environment isn't all that hot for development.. Also the stacking needed is just not there But still the chance for some tropical (or subtropical) development is there, it will need to be watched for persistence.


Hurricane Hunter Aircraft have been scheduled to check out this system tomorrow, if needed.



The east pacific already has Barbara, will the Atlantic catch up with another early storm? It may not wind up being purely tropical.

{{StormLinks|02|02|2|2007|2|W. Caribbean Storm}}
{{StormCarib}}
Radar Loops
{{radarlink|byx|Key West, FL}}
{{radarlink|amx|Miami, FL}}
{{radarlink|tbw|Tampa Bay/Ruskin, FL}}
{{CancunRadar}}


Rainbow Enhancement GOM and W Caribbean

Main Page for the SSD satellite products is here.
NOAA SSD Tropical Satellite Page

More on the [[Links]] page



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