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OK, just had a quick glance at the latest vis imagery and loops. Looks like we have a defined centre of circulation at the surface, now due north of the western tip of Cuba, and on the southwestern side of the cloud shield. Convection isnt deep, and the system is pretty lop-sided in that the majority of the activity is located to the right side. If anything i would suggest it is at best sub-tropical. With RECON now enroute we should know more in the next few hours. |