Yet another interesting wave with a clear embedded cyclonic gyre has emerged off of Africa. This is interesting in terms of an early signal. If we get one more of these, it would seem an interestingly high frequency of important disturbances may be establishing.

Currently, there is an area of 24C SST that exists N of approximately 12 degree of latitude, from the west coast of Africa to about 44W. The wave recently discussed, which is still there and still has some cyclonic nature to it, has lost its convection since passing bodily over this region (it currently is situated near 40W/15N and continues to move WNW). Once it arrives back over 26C SSTs, it will be near 45W by 16N; U/A is marginal at best at that location and as others have noted there is some shear from the west (NW), which picks up in intensity about 24 hours thereafter. Would not expect much out of this entity any more than some eye-candy already served.

These are for all intents and purposes, Cape Verde systems though, which means painfully long waits even if they do develop. It also remains climate suggested, unlikely for the time being -- but nothing is impossible.

John