ChessieStorm
(Weather Watcher)
Thu Jun 28 2007 01:56 PM
Re: Getting hard to ignore

According to the 1 pm Forecast Discussion, the Tampa Mets are forecast this wave to come through and then get caught up in a frontal boundary coming down.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - SATURDAY)...UNLIKE YESTERDAY MODELS THIS AFTERNOON
ARE NOW IN SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE HANDLING OF
THE TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
SO WILL USE A BLEND DURING THIS TIME FRAME. BLEND OF NAM/GFS TAKES THE
AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL WAVE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...THEN IT GETS
ABSORBED AND PULLED NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTO A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY
DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE (PW`S > 2") AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY COMBINED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL SUPPORT HIGH RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA TONIGHT (POPS 30-40% RANGE TONIGHT AND 60-70% ON FRIDAY) AND
FRIDAY. IN ADDITION SLOW MOVING STORMS MAY SUPPORT SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS