cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Jun 29 2007 10:26 AM
Re: Weather Discussions-excerpts

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml?

0945 AM EDT FRI 29 JUN 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-037 AMENDMENT

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
NEAR 29.0N 79.0W AT 01/1800Z.....ADDED


There still isn't much meat to this now official Invest. Pressures are generally on the high side, upper-level winds are detrimental, and while the low is now possibly centered at the base of a surface trough which runs through -land- Florida, itself, most of the weather is occurring over the Bahamas and generally east of south Florida. There is quite the - disconnect - with this feature.

Upper-level winds will have to relax still more, and either convection needs to co-locate with the low, or a new low needs to reform situated with the convection, for it to have a shot of anything more than a curiosity.