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I don't know what to make of 96L. The 5pm TWO indicated that it was less organized (not in so many words) than earlier in the day, but right now, it looks very much like a tropical depression, to my eyes anyway. It's not a storm, but it has a rotation, and convection near the rotation. There's some nice banding features, too, for a storm this far out to see on July 3rd. If it were 2005, I would have guessed they would have pulled the trigger already, but the new crew at the NHC seems less inclined to throw up advisories on things of this nature. Will it survive a substantial trek across the Atlantic and enter the Hurricane Graveyard (AKA the eastern Caribbean)? Time will tell. (Speculation without supporting rationale belongs in the Forecast Lounge.) |