Clark
(Meteorologist)
Wed Jul 04 2007 01:45 AM
Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet

The diurnal convective max has apparently brought 96L perking to life tonight, looking like a bonafide tropical depression of sorts. It's not there yet, and NHC tends to like to wait a little bit with storms well out at sea to see how well they maintain their organization over time, but if current trends continue into the afternoon hours tomorrow -- I think we might just get a classified system out of this one after all. It's still ingesting some stable air at low levels, keeping the overall organization from being too impressive and partially helping keep the cloud tops from getting too cold, but other than that factor there's not a whole lot against slow organization over the next few days.

Basically -- by midday tomorrow, we're going to know if it's going to take that next step and become something interesting...or if it is just going to pulse up and down on into the Caribbean Sea. Something to watch, to say the least.



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