Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Wed Jul 04 2007 11:23 AM
Re: 96L Dead??

Quote:

Plus, the low level circulation is still very vigorous.




My thoughts exactly. There is obviously alot of shear that is preventing the system from developing into a bonifide tropical depression, but it has not given up trying. In order for it to actually develop, though, conditions will have to greatly improve in the eastern Caribbean... unless it some survives in its current form (without increasing or decreasing in organization) until it makes it all the way into the western Caribbean. I don't know if conditions will be any better for development there, but at least historically, the western Caribbean is a better place for a tropical disturbance to be than the central Atlantic or eastern Caribbean this time of year.



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