Even though the convection is limited with this system.
The Test Model runs are still taking the system into the Caribbean Sea.
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_96.gif
Through 120 hours-5 days. The models still maintain the system below 39 knots, or Tropical Storm strength.

The vortice signature of this system is tenacious at the least. Crossing the Caribbean Sea below Tropical Storm strength would limit the potential for shear, and other parameters to interrupt the atmospheric processes. In other words. We would be better off if the storm would develop to some degree.

With the SSTs getting warmer by the day. The current model run would put 96L in a very favorable area in 5 days. With respect to the lower levels and surface conditions that are currently in the Western Caribbean.
Development, should that occur, in the Western Caribbean would/ could mean an almost certain threat to the GOM Coasts. From Brownsville,TX to Key West,FL and the Eastern Florida Coasts in the long term.