In my expirience i notice when a model goes bisurk on a strong wave wich the one at 10 and 58 is, its precluder to an even stronger one that usually doesent fall apart very easily and makes it across to become a storm. Honestly i can see the front running wave coming north into florida this week enhancing the trough off north carolina and developing and moving out leaving the big wave behind it to come under neath and develop into possibly are first hurricane in the gulf this season. this due to fact that once the trough develops and moves out it will be replaced by a ridge with almost perfect conditions across the carribean.