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That's what I was trying to point out but I got corrected. UKMET had at least a wave with what the CMC was trying to make a TS out of. Now on the 0z runs, the CMC has dowgraded the storm to only a deppression in the GOM. It is something to watch, and know that anything can happen in the weather, we can't control it. So lets see what the next few runs show. That wave that models are hinting at is now near the Islands and has gained some convection but I expect that to decrease as shear right over it is 35-40 knots. Though as it continues to move, the shear will slowly decrease and maybe the CMC has a point like it did with Alberto (2006), Andrea, and Barry. |