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Might be -barely- more interesting along or near Texas the next few days, as two waves could approach the area. As mentioned, there is that one just to the east of that hungry ULL which has been eating it for lunch, and it appears something could creep up the eastern coast of Mexico, or also possibly form out in the middle of the GOM. The outlier CMC has withdrawn its forecast of a tropical storm in the GOM this week, but still the NAM is now hinting that such a wave could produce some inclement weather out this way (along or near Texas). Caught the eye of our area NWSFO this afternoon, and thus was mentioned in the last Area Forecast Discussion, here. Thinking is, any window for this wave to initiate or help promote tropical cyclone formation will be rather limited, if at all. Might be more interesting should the ULL over Cuba weaken some, and begin working with, rather than against, the wave out there. As noted elsewhere, SSTs in the western Caribbean and central GOM are quite warm, and to a significant depth. Should favorable atmospherics come together in that general region, there would be more than sufficient quantities of warm water to help fuel a deep warm core system out there. |