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Current WV imagery does indicate cyclonic circulation in the Middle GOM. Centered near 25N/ 88W. It appears to be a mid-level circulation, and I'm not certain at this point if it has closed off. Wind directions from the Slidell, Mobile, and Eglin NWS radar profiles indicate westerly winds from the surface to around 3000 feet. And Northerly winds above 3000 feet. More indicative of the weak, unusual for July, front poised near the Northern Gulf Coast. Buoy observations are showing light winds with pressures below 29.92 in Hg. Not much to look at for now. Enjoy the peace and quiet. Excerpt from the QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION ALL OF THE MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME TYPE OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ENHANCING OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE GFS IS THE BOLDEST IN ALLOWING THIS FEATURE TO GET CAUGHT UP IN THE SWRLY STEERING FLOW AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO ENHANCE RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS FL. HPC FOLLOWED THIS TREND AND BUMPED UP QPF VALUES ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. (QPF values are rainfall totals~danielw) |