dem05
(User)
Mon Jul 30 2007 10:37 PM
Re: id give it chances based on ships model

Hi mort, you are right and the word on the street is that 98L is getting classified at 11PM...It looks like I should have gone with odds of higher than 20%, huh...LOL! It almost looked like the low reformed toward the thunderstorms that were NE of the center earlier today. Shear has probably treaked downward a bit too. Those develoments of t-storms closer to the center probably got it over the NHC threshold...We will soon know if it is tropical or subtropical...Interesting!

In the mean time, 99L is trying to getmore in the way of deep thunderstorm development on the NE side (make no correlation to98L/Noname 3). This system looks like it is getting even better organized mid-levels, but still needs more thunderstorms (as in my previous discussion). However, it is in a favorable environment. It is possible that for a brief time at least, there may be two systems to track.



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