sharkman
(Registered User)
Thu Aug 16 2007 12:54 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf

Please people read the summary of the Hebert Boxes


So what does all this mean when a Hurricane passes or develops in the Hebert Box east of Puerto Rico since 1950?


1)N Carolina has as much of a chance to get hit as Florida.
2)20.58% or most go out to sea without hitting land.
3)Only 8.82% make it into the Gulf of Mexico when they pass through the box as a hurricane.
4)Puerto Rico will get hit 20.58% of the time (the highest outside of n Antilles).

What about Box #2,Hurricanes developing or moving through after Oct 1st since 1950?
Cuba & the Bahamas are at highest risk late in the season.


To wrap things up, two significant Hurricanes that hit South Fla did not pass through this box, Andrew 1992, and Betsy 1965!. Data may be slightly off because these boxes were based on data going back to 1900. We chose named storms since 1950 for recognition purposes.

I grew up in Miami from the early 1950's and now live in Tampa Before Andrew which did not go through the Boxes there was nothing for 20 years only in the mid fifties and through the sixties did Miami get hit much less most of the state.



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