h2ocean
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sat Aug 18 2007 09:58 AM
Re: 00Z Models

tekkrite, yeah, I have been watching to the east of Dean. Models are picking up on one or two features out there. Here is an exceprt from the Melbourne, FL NWS discussion early this morning:

EXTENDED...STRONG TROPICAL WAVE OR POSSIBLY CLOSED LOW INDICATED BY
GFS APPROACHING BAHAMAS IN EASTERLIES LATE WED/EARLY THU WITH
MOVEMENT TOWARD S FL ON THU AND THERE IS SOME REFLECTION OF THIS
WAVE AS WELL IN ECMWF. SYSTEM IS SHOWN INTERACTING WITH AN EAST
COAST TROUGH AND PULLING NWD ALONG THE FL EAST COAST SLOWLY ON FRI
AND INTO SAT. HAVE INCREASED POPS AND OTHER FORECAST ELEMENTS TO
REFLECT THIS BUT HAVE DECREASED WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA AT THIS
EARLY JUNCTURE DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES.