Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Wed Aug 29 2007 09:03 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again

well... Looks like we have three lows on the map in the tropical atlantic... How many will form? Good question ... just throwing in my two cents... just got back into town (PC) and took a look at the sats... I am much more impressed with 94L today, even though its doesn't have that deep convection going....Seems to me there is more cyclonic turning at the surface, (may be more enlongated) then there has been in the last few days... but watching the Vis floater ....kinda can see where the dust/dry air could be...to the north of the tropical wave.... I would think a center/low is around 46-47w 11-12n ish....(I know its marked as a 1010mb low)... it's moving to the west at about 10-15kts.

TWD, 2:05pm edt


as for 95L... its clearly exposed this afternoon... nice little surface reflections is easy trackable... Above (Mid-Upper level...just seems to Dry above 95L right now for anything to happen in the short term. If it can hang on as it appears to be drifting to the south, if should reach the warmer gulf stream and give its self a chance...

Well the latest tropical run suite TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE from about 18:00utc... keeps both atlantic systems in play...

Recon plan from this morning:
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-097



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