Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Fri Aug 31 2007 06:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Developing East of Caribbean

Recon data seems to indicate a relatively weak and broad surface circulation in 94L. Max flight-level winds so far (that I have seen) are 28 kts. It'll probably be classified at the next advisory time, even if the plane doesn't find anything tight enough to merit a vortex message. The satellite signature of the storm is impressive, but the available data so far indicates that the surface reflection is still getting its act together.

I also noticed that some convection has flared up around 15N/35W, in the vicinity of the tropical wave/broad low pressure that was getting a brief mention in the TWO for the last couple of days before being dropped. If that persists, it may start getting mentioned again, but nothing is imminent.



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