Yes, that is correct Scott. For the 5AM advisory package, they will be looking at the 00Z information as well as the information for the 06Z on the BAM suite. If the trend persists with the 06Z Nogaps...Everything else is placing the 11PM advisory Forecast on the Southern extent and/or outside of the guidance envelope...as such, we may see a subtle move in the forecast track to the north on days 4 and 5 in the 5AM advisory...

Mean time, speaking of satellites, the satellite eclipse is over for tonight. TD6 must have sped up a bit this evening, cuase it is significantly further to the west. That coordinate estimate for 2AM advisory probably should have been further west, but they were flying a bit blind with no recon or satellite. That is, unless TD6 is suffering from easterly shear and the mid level center has been displaced to the west...which I seriously doubt. Not their fualt at the NHC for this though...as I mentined a minute ago, they were flying a bit blind tonight and that was an excellent extrapolation on their part for the 2AM coordinates.