Well, I wonder if there may be one other fly in the ointment. The models have had a fair amount of difficulty in identifying areas of cyclogenesis here. Before yesterday afternoon, none of the major models showed the development of Felix...If 98L ends up becoming TD7, then the models will be building a bit of a recent track record here for not calling systems pre-development...As I really do not see any of the major models making much of 98L right now.

Only being that it is September, it is worth mention that there is another tropical wave gaining thunderstorm activity. That is the wave south of Jamaica. The organization/structure of the system is nothing to write home about. However, it will be curious to see if the thunderstorm activity that has been building in that area continues with some persistance over time. At this time, there seems to be little/no representation of this wave in the models...yet then again, this wave is in the very same favorable waters of the Carribean...and is far enough from Felix to be of note. Don't get me wrong, I'm not calling for any development here, but it would be curious to see if a well defined wave may imply some additional steering effects on Felix from upstream. Time will only tell...

Carribean visible loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html