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Well, I know that the NHC has been using the HWRF all year, but I have to say that with every storm this year the HWRF has been consistently underdeveloping them. Dean it kept as a TS or a Cat 1 for ever, and then after Dean reached Category 2 and 3 it kept calling for Dean to weaken. I'm not sure if this is an issue with initiation conditions with HWRF, or if it simply isn't that good with hurricanes. As it is a new model, I'm sure we will hear something about its poor track record in post season analysis. |