MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Sep 07 2007 10:50 PM
Tropical Storm Gabrielle heads for North Carolina

12:20PM EDT 9 September Update
Gabrielle has made landfall near Cape Lookout National Seashore around 11;45AM.

The wave northeast of the Caribbean is now being tracked as 92L being discussed here.. 1 Storm, 3 invests being tracked now.

The most immediate concern, outside of Gabrielle, is 90L in the Gulf, but it doesn't look like it'll develop much. 92L initial model runs suggest it is something that we in Florida and the southeast may have to watch later in the week.

9:38AM EDT 9 September Update
We're recording Mark Sudduth's (Hurricane Track.com) webcam tower on Hatteras along with the Morehead city radar.
You can see these At this link.

Also the Central Atlantiic (Discuss Here) and Gulf disturbance (being talked about Here) are being tracked as 91L, and 90L respectively.



Early 9 September Update
Late in the afternoon on Saturday (Sept. 8), Gabrielle was judged to have acquired tropical characteristics and was re-classified as a tropical storm. It should make landfall along the east coast of North Carolina sometime during the day on Sunday, heading north and northeast from there. Briefly gusty winds and 1-3" rain totals look to be the biggest meteorological effects from the poorly-organized tropical system; beach erosion looks to be the largest overall effect.

The disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico was designated as 90L late on Saturday. It is currently very disorganized and is no imminent threat for development. We'll watch it for now, along with a couple of tropical waves/lows in the central Atlantic. If you'd like to discuss any of these features for now, please check the Storm Forum and/or the Forecast Lounge.

8 September Update
Gabrielle remains a Subtropical Storm with 45MPH winds and a pressure of 1011 mb, there are some signs that Gabrielle may make the transition to a fully tropical storm later today or tonight.

The system is still rather disorganized as a whole, which should keep strengthening to a minimum, but it is forecast to become a stronger Tropical Storm by the time it nears the Carolina Coastline. Although it has some rain on the northern periphery, this is not a rain heavy system, a lot of dry air has gotten into Gabrielle. So it won't be much of a drought buster for the Carolina's unfortunately.



It is forecast to clip or barely miss the Carolina coastline then head northeast,

Original Update
Gabrielle forms as a subtropical Storm.

The system southeast of the Carolinas has formed into a Subtropical storm. It was borderline most of the night as is. Meaning warm core at lower levels and cold core at higher levels, a hybrid system, not purely tropical.

Gabrielle formed from an old frontal boundary that developed a low level circulation, meandered around for days, getting sheared and kept from forming a purely tropical system.



Tropical Storm watches are up from South Carolina Northward into parts of North Carolina. Gabrielle is forecast to near the coast of the Carolinas. Subtropical storms tend to have larger wind fields than tropical storms.

Radar Loops
{{radarlink|mhx|Morehead City, NC}}
{{radarlink|ltx|Wimington, NC}}
{{StormCarib}}
{{StormLinks|Gabrielle|07|7|2007|3|Gabrielle}}
{{StormLinks|90L|90|8|2007|1|90L (Near Florida)}}
{{StormLinks|91L|91|9|2007|2|91L (Central Atlantic)}}
{{StormLinks|92L|92|10|2007|4|92L (Northeast of Caribbean)}}



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