Well Humberto went right of its general forecasted path and that has given it about 6 hrs of more time over the water increasing the strength up. In general I and the NHC didnt expect this to get much over 50mph but a more NE heading has kept it over water longer. The winds are 65mph about 1000 ft above the surface...and at the surface the strongest recorded over water was 47mph as of 932pm central. Still we go with what the NHC says and they are using the winds 1000ft up expecting them to come down more towards the surface of 100ft.

Unless Humberto stalls out for a few hours or goes more 55-75dg over the next few hours...I dont expect more then a 5mph jump up. A hurricane is not out of the question as all the forecasts so far expected this to move more N inland just west of Galavaston.. but its going east of there. Notice also the western side of the system is bringing in dry air off the landmass. All data shows winds on the western side of this around 35-40kt. In general this right now is still a 50mph just inland from landfall but main thing is Flooding....and also Tornados and Power Outages...