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I just checked the latest run of the GFDL against the current Advisory. GFDL Forecast: FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 00 28.3 95.1 355./ 5.0 06 28.6 95.2 342./ 3.1 12 29.2 95.3 352./ 6.0 18 30.0 94.8 030./ 9.1 Current Advisory: 29.0N/ 94.6W ...BASED ON RADAR FIXES THE CURRENT MOTION...030/05 AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. Humberto at 10PM CDT was 0.2 degree east of the 18 hour forecast position and 0.2 degree south of the 12 hour position. |