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Many of the latest forecast models are showing an area of low pressure developing north of Panama and heading north into the Gulf of Mexico later this week. The GFS is showing a tropical storm hitting Florida just north of Tampa around Saturday. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/model_l.shtml A strong ridge of high pressure building to the north this week will cause pressures to fall in the Southwest Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf. A tropical wave currently south of Puerto Rico will interact in a few days with the area of low pressure north of Panama to generate a system which may threaten the Gulf coast in several days. The attachment shows the 12Z Sept 15th runs for the NOGAPS, GFS, and UKMET for the Friday/Saturday timeframe. |