I wouldn't put too much stock in the model runs right now since the system still actually hasn't developed into anything yet. We also don't know what the condition of it will be once it does emerge into the GOM. This looks to be setting up as one of those situations we will have to watch on a daily basis because there is NOTHING that is clear cut yet. We still don't know how strong the ridge will be or how strong the trough coming in from the west will be either. As others have posted...everyone along the whole gulf coast should be keeping tabs on our invest because at this point it's anyone's guess where it may end up.

Shawn